Currency Fundamental Trends

Fundamental Trends are usually long to very long term trends (up to severals years) and mirror political and economical situations.

Currency Bias Reasons Recommandation
EUR unstable
  • depth crisis
  • USD weak
  • high inflation expectation (incomming recession?)
  • xxx/USD - long
    USD/xxx - short
    GBP little weaker than EUR
  • pessimistic on the prospects of the UK economy
  • CHF
    NZD very strong (prob. temporary)
  • uptrend since corona
  • xxx/NZD - short
    NZD/xxx - long
    AUD strong
  • AUD profits from RCEP
  • mining boom of critical minerals (india)
  • xxx/AUD - short
    AUD/xxx - long

    Currency Fact Sheet

    Currency Self-Haven Risk on Risk off Trending, Mean Reversion
    USD self-haven risk off
    JPY self-haven risk off
    CHF self-haven risk off
    CAD commodity based risk on
    NZD commodity based risk on
    AUD commodity based risk on
    ZAR commodity based risk on

    Trending vs Mean Reversion Markets